The Scenarionist - Where Deep Tech Meets Capital

The Scenarionist - Where Deep Tech Meets Capital

⚛️ Fusion PPAs Before Electrons; 🛰️ Space Nuclear Fuel Steps Up; 💧Microbes Turn Oil Wells into Hydrogen; ⚡Power Beaming Inches Toward Orbit & more | Deep Tech Briefing n. 91

Weekly Intelligence on Deep Tech Startups and Venture Capital.

Dec 14, 2025
∙ Paid

Welcome back to Deep Tech Briefing!

This week, we move from fusion offtake contracts as the real product to a wider pattern of industrialization-before-science-fiction: space-solar powering orbital data centers, hydrogen business jets turning into factories on the ground, glyphosate-cleanup microbes slotting into existing ag, and AI radiology chains scaling through public markets.

this week in deep tech startups

Deep Tech Briefing Stack:

  1. Interesting Reading – our collection of readings that are worth sitting with.

  2. The Big Idea – a critical inflection, unpacked into a strategic view.

  3. Deep Tech Key Moves – field intelligence on this week’s most important moves.

  4. Signal in the Data – the one chart that should change how you see deep tech this week.

  5. Deep Tech Power Play – where regulation, incentives, and influence redraw the opportunity set in deep tech.


🔶 Interesting Reading

  • VC fundraising hits decade lows in 2025 despite AI boom WebProNews — A reminder that “AI is booming” ≠ “venture is healthy”—LP constraints, distribution drought, and barbell outcomes turning the middle of the market into a slow-motion reset.

  • OpenAI + Disney + Sora Axios — IP meets generative video: what it looks like when a premium rights-holder experiments with creation tooling—hinting at the licensing, guardrails, and brand-control playbooks that will matter most.

  • The race to mine the moon is on — and it urgently needs some clear international rules The Conversation— Lunar ISRU is drifting from sci-fi to procurement—while the legal layer lags behind, setting up future fights over access, exclusion, and what “property” even means off-Earth.

  • AI is making spacecraft propulsion more efficient — and could even lead to nuclear-powered rockets Space.com — A useful view of where ML shows up in real flight dynamics—optimizing burns, trajectories, and margins—while quietly expanding the design space for next-gen (including nuclear) propulsion.

  • Study quantifies costs of EU Space Act to European and U.S. companies SpaceNews — Compliance as an industrial policy instrument: who eats the paperwork, who exits the market, who delays launches—an early map of second-order effects on cross-border space supply chains.

  • How Australia can avoid bleeding out on R&D Capital Brief — A blunt diagnosis of Australia’s R&D “leakage” problem—plus the policy levers that actually change founder incentives, retention, and onshore commercialization (not just press releases).

  • U.S. investors are going big on China AI despite concerns in Congress The Wall Street Journal — The capital markets version of “strategic ambiguity”—money chasing China AI upside while policy risk compounds in the background, turning governance and diligence into the real edge.

  • The data-center power boom (and the weird adjacencies it unlocks) Axios — Data centers as the new energy sink reshaping capex and timelines—where “power-first” thinking creates surprising winners and pulls non-obvious industrial tech into the AI supply chain.

  • Sequoia doesn’t want a king to run its $9 billion hedge fund The Wall Street Journal — Governance under stress: when performance, personality, and incentives collide—worth reading as a case study in institutionalizing decision-making once the org outgrows hero operators.


🔸 The Big Idea:

Japan’s First Fusion Power Purchase Agreement—Before Fusion Power Exists

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