The Scenarionist - Deep Tech Startups & Venture Capital

The Scenarionist - Deep Tech Startups & Venture Capital

DeepTech Briefing

✨Deep Tech Briefing #82 | Microreactors Go Public — Wall Street Joins the Power Stack & more...

Weekly Intelligence on Deep Tech Private Markets.

Giulia Spano, PhD's avatar
Giulia Spano, PhD
Oct 12, 2025
∙ Paid
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Welcome back to Deep Tech Briefing — the weekly space by The Scenarionist where we analyze and discuss the key events of the week shaping Deep Tech Private Markets.

In Today’s Briefing:

Lite Edition (Free)

  • Roundup

  • Interesting Reading

Full Edition (Premium)

  • The Big Idea:

    When Microreactors Meet Public Markets

    The Atom Is the New Silicon — and Wall Street Just Joined the Supply Chain

  • The Key Updates:

    From a Texas battery plant to stainless-clad bridge rebar and a Midwest demo farm, big tech pushes its own silicon, a reentry capsule aims for hour-scale returns, and a lunar venture attracts new capital—and much more.

  • Signal in the Data:

    Alpha Is Local Again

    Reindustrialization rewards operators with customers and capacity; fund-picking advantages are converging.

  • Deep Tech Power Play:

    EU may limit meat-style names on plant-based foods; Ohio starts a statewide drone responder program; DOE plans new mining tech effort; $914B defense bill; White House seeks input on manufacturing.


Roundup

Dear Friends, welcome back to Deep Tech Briefing!

The signal this week is clarity: deep tech progress is no longer about spectacular demos; it is about converting prototypes into products that ship on a clock. Energy leads because compute expansion has outgrown the grid’s easy paths. Modular baseload units, geothermal designs with predictable output, and neighborhood-scale storage are marching toward “power-as-an-appliance.” The value proposition is measurable—firm capacity, known maintenance windows, telemetry for regulators and insurers, and a siting plan that survives community review.

Manufacturing improvements look incremental but compound quickly. AI-orchestrated sheet-forming reduces tooling capital and shortens time from design to metal; stainless-clad reinforcement extends infrastructure life at costs familiar to today’s buyers. In chips, performance is constrained by movement of data, not just how fast a single die runs. Packaging, memory proximity, and verification determine whether accelerators deliver real throughput in production racks.

Autonomy is normalizing into municipal and defense workflows. Programs are judged on on-time rates, rescue frequency, battery swap cadence, and safe-zone behavior around people and assets. Maritime platforms excel when built in conventional yards with established quality systems, then paired with secure comms and certified autonomy stacks. In orbit, edge analytics and responsive return are promising only if recovery ops and insurance models keep costs predictable.

Policy is not the headline, but it sets the lane markers. Defense authorizations emphasize counter-UAS and replenishment; energy and mining initiatives fund proving grounds and credible measurement, reporting, and verification. State-scale emergency drone pilots create templates for beyond-visual-line-of-sight procedures that local agencies can adopt. These frameworks shorten the distance from prototype to purchase order.

You’re reading the Lite edition of Deep Tech Briefing. For a full view of the week’s key developments across new breakthroughs, permits, industrial partnerships, IPO signals, and policy shifts shaping the deep tech landscape, unlock the full version here.

Enjoy the read!

- Giulia

✨ For more, see Membership | VC Guides | Insights | Rumors | Exit


Deep Tech Monthly in Review - September 2025

Nicola Marchese, MD and Giulia Spano, PhD
·
Oct 9
Deep Tech Monthly in Review - September 2025

This Month in Deep Tech Ventures — September
Signals, Lessons, and Actionable Insights to drive strategic decisions, surface asymmetric opportunities, benchmarking, and more...

Read full story

Interesting Reading:

  • The AI Stock Market Bubble: Is History Repeating Itself? Barron’s — dot-com echoes abound: performance is concentrated, capex promises are massive, and vendor lock-in risk is rising even as the narrative keeps momentum hot.

  • The world is just not quite ready for humanoids yet TechCrunch — Brooks and robotics VCs flag safety, dexterity, and unit-economics gaps; slick demos aside, timelines look longer even as niche preorders appear.

  • How does the government shutdown impact the U.S. industrial base? CSIS — funded work continues, but no new SBIR awards until reauthorized and DPA Title III tools stall—tough medicine for cash-tight dual-use startups.

  • Former British PM Sunak joins Microsoft, Anthropic in advisory roles Reuters — part-time, internally focused gigs with ACOBA conditions attached; proceeds pledged to The Richmond Project—Big Tech keeps deepening its geopolitical bench.

  • Satellite’s AI Future: The Big Debate Via Satellite — operators tout on-board inference, predictive ops, and “zero-touch” autonomy; Spire says new AI models push weather forecasts to ~20–45 days.

  • Open source mega-constellations could solve overcrowding Phys.org — Chinese researchers pitch a shared LEO stack (SNAI + “cloud-pool-terminal”) to cap satellites under 50k and cut costs; geopolitics make it a long shot.

  • The murky economics of the data-centre investment boom The Economist — fever-pitch AI infra spend meets power constraints and uncertain IRRs; McKinsey’s five-year capex tab sits around $5.2T and climbing.

  • Startups Are Eating Big Food’s Lunch Wall Street Journal — insurgent brands are capturing outsized category growth while incumbents wrestle with shelf space, channels, and slower innovation clocks.

  • Defense budgets on both sides of the Atlantic reshape space industry SpaceNews — European rearmament plus the U.S. “Golden Dome” thesis are lifting valuations and demand across dual-use constellations.

  • Quantum Tech: Next Frontier in Airborne Surveillance National Defense Magazine — quantum magnetometers and gravimeters promise GPS-denied navigation and passive detection; AQNav flight tests hint at nearer-term ISR gains.


The Big Idea:

When Microreactors Meet Public Markets

The Atom Is the New Silicon — and Wall Street Just Joined the Supply Chain

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