The Scenarionist - Deep Tech Startups & Venture Capital

The Scenarionist - Deep Tech Startups & Venture Capital

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The Scenarionist - Deep Tech Startups & Venture Capital
The Scenarionist - Deep Tech Startups & Venture Capital
Deep Tech Briefing #40: ๐Ÿค– AI Czar; ๐Ÿ›ก๏ธ NATO Investments in Photonic Glass Chips; ๐Ÿ’Š Fast-Track Drug Approval; ๐Ÿง  Anthropic New Protocol; ๐Ÿš eVTOL Up and Down; ๐Ÿ’ฐ MedTech IPO, and more...
DeepTech Briefing

Deep Tech Briefing #40: ๐Ÿค– AI Czar; ๐Ÿ›ก๏ธ NATO Investments in Photonic Glass Chips; ๐Ÿ’Š Fast-Track Drug Approval; ๐Ÿง  Anthropic New Protocol; ๐Ÿš eVTOL Up and Down; ๐Ÿ’ฐ MedTech IPO, and more...

An insiderโ€™s update on Deep Tech Ventures: Your dose of tech innovations, startups, exponential industries, policies, and market moves to stay ahead and capitalize on it.

Giulia Spano, PhD's avatar
Giulia Spano, PhD
Dec 01, 2024
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The Scenarionist - Deep Tech Startups & Venture Capital
The Scenarionist - Deep Tech Startups & Venture Capital
Deep Tech Briefing #40: ๐Ÿค– AI Czar; ๐Ÿ›ก๏ธ NATO Investments in Photonic Glass Chips; ๐Ÿ’Š Fast-Track Drug Approval; ๐Ÿง  Anthropic New Protocol; ๐Ÿš eVTOL Up and Down; ๐Ÿ’ฐ MedTech IPO, and more...
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Welcome to issue #40 of Deep Tech Briefing, our Sunday column where we break down the week's standout developments in Deep Tech Startups and Venture Capital.

Here, youโ€™ll gain unique insights to keep you ahead, competitive, and ready to seize new opportunitiesโ€”and, why not, spark fresh ideas for thought-provoking conversations. :)


This Weekโ€™s Main Topics

  • Trumpโ€™s proposed โ€œAI czarโ€ could reshape U.S. tech policy.

  • Germanyโ€™s โ‚ฌ30 billion startup plan aims to close funding gaps.

  • The eVTOL sector faces turmoil with Verticalโ€™s rescue and Liliumโ€™s collapse.

  • Anthropic promotes AI standards.

  • Space tech advances with methane-monitoring satellites and Starlink services.

  • Cradle leads protein AI innovation; CeriBellโ€™s IPO signals a MedTech revival.

  • Energy innovations face scaling challenges in batteries and fusion technologies.

  • Quantum computing edges closer to commercialization amid global competition.

โœจ For more, see Membership | Partnership | Deep Tech Catalyst


From Washington to Berlin: Power, Politics, and Policy Play the Tech Game of Thrones...

You have to hand it to Donald Trumpโ€”he knows how to keep the spotlight. With whispers of his administration mulling over an โ€œAI czarโ€ appointment, the former president, fresh off a sweeping electoral victory, seems poised to make artificial intelligence a top-tier issue in Washington. Axios broke the news earlier this week, and while the role remains undefined and unstaffed, itโ€™s already setting tongues wagging.

An โ€œAI czarโ€ would oversee federal policy and regulation on AI, consolidating authority in a single figure who wouldnโ€™t require Senate confirmation. This alone makes the position a potential lightning rod for controversy. Trump could scrap Biden-era agency AI officers in favor of a top-down modelโ€”a move that might streamline decision-making but risks losing the expertise embedded within specialized agencies. Axios also floated the possibility of combining the role with a โ€œcrypto czar,โ€ signaling that emerging technologies could take center stage in Trumpโ€™s second term.

Hereโ€™s where it gets interesting: Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamyโ€”key players in the so-called DOGE coalitionโ€”are rumored to have a hand in selecting candidates for the post. Musk, fresh from a Senate AI forum and already deeply involved in shaping AI norms, could extend his influence into policymaking. While some see this as a win for tech industry alignment, others are wary of the potential for conflicts of interest.

AI czar Trump

Meanwhile, across the Atlantic, Germany is working on its own innovation agenda. Berlinโ€™s cabinet just approved the Second Financing for the Future Act, a bold attempt to bridge the countryโ€™s โ‚ฌ30 billion annual startup funding gap and stem the flow of talent and companies to the U.S. The legislation proposes tax incentives and reduced red tape to make Germany a more attractive startup hub. However, with a divided parliament and elections looming, its fate is far from certain. Christoph Stresing of the German Startup Association summed it up bluntly: the number of listed companies in Germany has halved since 2007. For investors, the question is whether Germany can finally shed its risk-averse culture and embrace a new era of entrepreneurship.

Back in the U.S., healthcare policy under Trumpโ€™s new administration is set for a shake-up. The FDA could return to the fast-tracked drug approval processes seen during his first term, a boon for biotech and medtech startups. But thereโ€™s a catch: Robert F. Kennedy Jr., a vocal vaccine skeptic, is reportedly being considered for a health role in the administration. His potential influence on vaccine policy could unsettle investors, even as other sectors look poised to benefit from regulatory loosening.

And then thereโ€™s China. The Biden administration is doubling down on restricting Beijingโ€™s access to critical semiconductor technologies, with new controls targeting high-bandwidth memory (HBM) chipsโ€”a linchpin for training advanced AI models. The move is designed to curb Beijingโ€™s technological ambitions but could disrupt global supply chains and accelerate the development of alternative ecosystems. It raises broader questions about how innovation will evolve in an increasingly fragmented geopolitical context, where access to critical technologies is reshaped by national security concerns.

These developments underscore how policy decisions are increasingly shaping the future of innovation and investment.

The interplay of regulation, market dynamics, and global competition highlights the nuanced challenges and opportunities that define this moment. Whether itโ€™s the centralization of AI governance in the U.S., Germanyโ€™s ambitious startup reforms, or the tightening screws on Chinaโ€™s tech ambitions, the landscape for investors, innovators, and founders is shifting. Itโ€™s a reminder that, in this game, staying ahead requires not just capital but a keen understanding of the forces shaping the future.

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The AI Wild West: Billion-Dollar Bets, Protocols, Scaling, and Competitive Dynamics

The AI industry never fails to deliver a mix of bold moves and looming challenges, and this week was no exception. From Anthropicโ€™s push for open standards to CoreWeaveโ€™s ambitious IPO plans and the growing pains of startups navigating private and public markets, the sector continues to showcase its signature blend of innovation and volatility.

Letโ€™s start with Anthropic. The companyโ€™s Model Context Protocol (MCP) is its latest attempt to tackle one of AIโ€™s thorniest problems: integrating systems seamlessly with external data. Itโ€™s a big swing. MCP promises to standardize how AI models interact with tools like Google Drive or Slack, and early adopters like Block and Apollo are already onboard. Sounds great, right? But hereโ€™s the twist: MCPโ€™s success depends on the industry rallying behind an open standardโ€”something that rivals like OpenAI arenโ€™t exactly incentivized to do. OpenAI is doubling down on its own proprietary integrations, making MCPโ€™s adoption look like an uphill battle. If MCP doesnโ€™t prove its worth with performance metrics and broad adoption, it risks becoming just another unrealized vision in the fragmented world of AI protocols.

Then thereโ€™s CoreWeave, aiming for a jaw-dropping $35 billion valuation with its upcoming IPO. This AI infrastructure company, backed by Nvidia, is riding the wave of demand for high-performance computing. Itโ€™s carving out a crucial niche, but letโ€™s not ignore the elephant in the room:

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