The Scenarionist - Deep Tech Startups & Venture Capital

The Scenarionist - Deep Tech Startups & Venture Capital

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The Scenarionist - Deep Tech Startups & Venture Capital
The Scenarionist - Deep Tech Startups & Venture Capital
🌊AI-“Ocean Drone” ;💨Climeworks Setback; 🇪🇺EIB Billions for Strategic Autonomy; 🧬Genetic Testing M&A; 🥤PepsiCo partner to H2-based fertilisers | Deep Tech Briefing #61
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DeepTech Briefing

🌊AI-“Ocean Drone” ;💨Climeworks Setback; 🇪🇺EIB Billions for Strategic Autonomy; 🧬Genetic Testing M&A; 🥤PepsiCo partner to H2-based fertilisers | Deep Tech Briefing #61

Weekly Intelligence on Deep Tech Startups and Venture Capital.

Giulia Spano, PhD's avatar
Giulia Spano, PhD
May 18, 2025
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The Scenarionist - Deep Tech Startups & Venture Capital
The Scenarionist - Deep Tech Startups & Venture Capital
🌊AI-“Ocean Drone” ;💨Climeworks Setback; 🇪🇺EIB Billions for Strategic Autonomy; 🧬Genetic Testing M&A; 🥤PepsiCo partner to H2-based fertilisers | Deep Tech Briefing #61
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Welcome back to Deep Tech Briefing — the weekly intelligence from The Scenarionist decoding the key shifts, hidden catalysts, and inflection points you can’t miss from the world of Deep Tech Startups and Venture capital.

✨ For more, see Membership | VC Guides | Deals | Deep Tech Catalyst

🌊 AI-“ocean drone” ;💨 Climeworks Setback; 🇪🇺 EIB Billions for Strategic Autonomy; 🧬 Genetic Testing M&A; 🥤 PepsiCo partner to H2-based fertilisers | Deep Tech Briefing #61

In Today's Briefing:

The Intelligence

  • Bio-Industrials — Metabolism, Molecules and M&A

  • Defense & Aerospace — From Sub-Surface Swarms to Stratospheric Eyes

  • Nuclear & Heavy Energy — Gigawatt Ambitions, Modular Realities

  • Hydrogen & SynFuels — German Engineering Meets Global Demand

  • Advanced Materials & Electrification

  • Quantum & High-Performance Computing — From Microsecond Coherence to Materials on Demand

  • Robotics & Automation — From Warehouse Floors to Foundry Lines

  • Hard-Tech Unicorns & Consolidation

The Big Idea

  • Climeworks, DAC, the Carbon Capture Reckoning: The Harsh Economics of Carbon Capture — If It’s a Business, It Needs to Perform

Deep Tech Power Play

  • 🇪🇺 EIB Group Mobilizes €9.1B to Strengthen Europe’s Strategic Autonomy

  • 🇺🇸 Federal Grant Rescinded — Birmingham Biotech Hub Faces Strategic Pause

  • 🇪🇺 EU Political Dynamics Shift Language Around Green Deal

  • 🇺🇸 FDA Issues Guidance on AI in Medical Devices — Framework Clarifies Market Pathways


Interesting Reading:

A few interesting reads from this week offered fresh angles and inspiring reflections…

  • Nvidia Plans New Shanghai Research Center (WSJ), Nvidia’s move to double down on R&D in China raises strategic questions in a bifurcating tech world. Balancing IP defensibility with access to engineering talent is an increasingly complex calculus.

  • Florida becomes 2nd state to ban fluoride from its water system (Fox8) was less about tech, but a reminder of how state-level policy shifts can signal deeper currents in public trust, science skepticism, and regulation.

  • The space race is being reshaped by geopolitics (The Conversation) explored how smaller nations like New Zealand are capitalizing on the decentralization of orbital launch capacity. A good case study for innovation arbitrage.

  • Europe’s bid for sovereign AI infrastructure (Forbes) and How Europe is catching up with the US in the space race (Universe Magazine) both highlighted a recurring theme: strategic autonomy. The tension between scale and sovereignty remains unresolved but increasingly salient.

  • India’s deep tech startups fight for funding (Nikkei Asia) and Indian startups settle for flat or lower valuations(Entrackr) underscore the capital inefficiencies still challenging non-Silicon Valley ecosystems. Deep tech in particular faces a slower feedback loop, making local patient capital essential.

  • The EIC Board encourages stronger support for deep tech (Open Access Government) is another nudge toward EU-level coordination, though execution will matter more than rhetoric.

  • Scientists think a hidden source of clean energy could power Earth for 170,000 years (Live Science) may sound speculative, but it’s a good reminder that energy moonshots still have a role—especially if tech and geological exploration converge.

  • The paradox of protection (Mishcon de Reya) and Khaki is the new green (PitchBook) both hit on a trend we’re watching closely: the climate-defense convergence. Policy and procurement shifts are reshaping risk profiles—and opening new markets.

  • Green steel, red flags (Forbes Australia) offered a fascinating look at the political economy behind decarbonizing heavy industry. Scale, permits, and partnerships remain gating factors.

  • Elizabeth Holmes’ partner raises $6M for new blood-testing startup (NYT) was eyebrow-raising. If nothing else, it shows how much the Valley still runs on narrative, redemption arcs included.

  • 5 takeaways from Chris Wright’s Hill visit (E&E News) rounds out the list—a great example of how technical founders are leaning into policy influence, a trend that may define the next era of industrial innovation.


The Intelligence:

Dear Friends,

The industrial deep-tech deal flow that flashed across our desks this week tells a single, crystalline story: the West’s supply-chain anxiety and the East’s manufacturing momentum are finally translating into hard-tech purchasing orders, not just pitch decks.

Capital is rediscovering the joy—and pain—of atoms, betting billions on dense energy, sovereign defense, and process-level biology while quietly pruning ventures that cannot scale into physical production.

1. Bio-Industrials — Metabolism, Molecules and M&A

The week opened with

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